
Resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 44%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 31 Aug 2026. $430.3K traded over the market's life.
194 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 8:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 42.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 44.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mythos-class-model-released-by
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