Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.650 | $6.55K | +$50 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9?Yes | buy | 179.16 | $0.194 | $34.75 | 7h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 12K |
| $0.470 |
| $5.46K |
| -$180 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 9.49K | $0.500 | $4.7K | -$47.42 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.84K | $0.550 | $4.51K | -$353.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.44K | $0.550 | $4.35K | -$295.48 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.81K | $0.560 | $2.08K | -$57.19 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 2.07K | $0.780 | $1.61K | -$10.37 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | Yes | 2.66K | $0.110 | $412.4 | +$119.73 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 400 | $0.810 | $354 | +$30 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August? | No | 427.22 | $0.670 | $309.73 | +$23.5 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 1.73K | $0.153 | $300.64 | +$36.12 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August? | Yes | 412.26 | $0.556 | $267.97 | +$38.6 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 524.1 | $0.240 | $123.16 | -$2.62 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 14.55K | $0.010 | $101.87 | -$43.62 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 650 | $0.173 | $87.75 | -$24.75 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 2.93K | $0.035 | $55.58 | -$46.8 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 96°F or higher on September 9? | Yes | 694.25 | $0.162 | $0.35 | -$111.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 92-93°F on September 9? | No | 199.99 | $0.840 | $0.1 | -$167.89 |
| buy |
| 35.1 |
| $0.163 |
| $5.72 |
| 7h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 90.77 | $0.216 | $19.64 | 14h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 57.13 | $0.212 | $12.14 | 14h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 118.59 | $0.094 | $11.18 | 14h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 140.1 | $0.092 | $12.85 | 14h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 140 | $0.850 | $119 | 14h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?No | buy | 420.18 | $0.670 | $281.52 | 15h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12K | $0.470 | $5.64K | 20h ago |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Yes | buy | 412.26 | $0.556 | $229.37 | 20h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 298 | $0.880 | $262.24 | 21h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 286 | $0.860 | $245.96 | 21h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 343.09 | $0.758 | $260.15 | 21h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?No | buy | 165.91 | $0.860 | $142.68 | 21h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 21h ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.66K | $0.110 | $292.67 | 1d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.780 | $829.97 | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 152.23 | $0.457 | $69.5 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 725.71 | $0.035 | $25.4 | 3d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 810.89 | $0.080 | $64.87 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 422 | $0.270 | $113.94 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.260 | $3.9 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.280 | $114.8 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 1.68K | $0.350 | $589.43 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.276 | $140.6 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 595 | $0.720 | $428.4 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.720 | $1.05K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.745 | $1.4K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 2K | $0.800 | $1.6K | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 54.99 | $0.210 | $11.55 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 6?Yes | sell | 486.3 | $0.042 | $20.61 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 6?No | sell | 200 | $0.615 | $123 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.134 | $1.61 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 133.22 | $0.158 | $21.07 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 6?No | sell | 79.8 | $0.900 | $71.82 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 6?No | buy | 260.81 | $0.831 | $216.74 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?No | sell | 71.66 | $0.261 | $18.71 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 3.29K | $0.200 | $658.11 | 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 363.8 | $0.170 | $61.85 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 6?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 6?No | buy | 60 | $0.740 | $44.4 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.080 | $14.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 347.51 | $0.114 | $39.65 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 6?Yes | buy | 25.02 | $0.017 | $0.43 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?No | buy | 70.58 | $0.546 | $38.53 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on September 6?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.958 | $1.75K | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.560 | $560.15 | 4d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.136 | $154.12 | 4d ago |