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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SSI public model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.83K | $0.749 | $4.47K | +$850.23 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.260 | $1.04K | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.69K |
| $0.391 |
| $4.17K |
| +$1.16K |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 10.05K | $0.382 | $3.92K | +$82.48 |
 Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | Yes | 4.3K | $0.740 | $3.6K | +$413.35 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 4.42K | $0.686 | $3.27K | +$236.05 |
 No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 15.54K | $0.194 | $3.1K | +$89.47 |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 5.18K | $0.445 | $2.57K | +$257.26 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.06K | $0.718 | $2.44K | +$235.14 |
 Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 2.48K | $0.634 | $2.31K | +$735.73 |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 3.84K | $0.282 | $2.2K | +$1.12K |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.782 | $1.48K | +$94.52 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.34K | $0.490 | $1.35K | +$198.27 |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.42K | $0.722 | $1.26K | +$238.13 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.800 | $1.19K | -$7.5 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 4.81K | $0.247 | $1.11K | -$81.9 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | No | 4.15K | $0.697 | $1.1K | -$1.79K |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 4K | $0.260 | $1.06K | +$20 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 6.15K | $0.160 | $953.55 | -$30.6 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 1K | $0.564 | $653 | +$88.54 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 2.26K | $0.229 | $596.84 | +$81.05 |
 LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 399 | $0.779 | $355.11 | +$44.25 |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? | No | 525.16 | $0.610 | $325.07 | +$4.88 |
| LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.309 | $295 | -$13.75 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 2.96K | $0.255 | $281.38 | -$472.59 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026? | No | 330.26 | $0.616 | $206.41 | +$2.87 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.304 |
| $60.75 |
| 3h ago |
| LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?Yes | buy | 399 | $0.779 | $310.86 | 3h ago |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?No | buy | 330.26 | $0.616 | $203.54 | 4h ago |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?No | buy | 701.88 | $0.437 | $306.69 | 4h ago |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?No | buy | 447.73 | $0.473 | $211.71 | 4h ago |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?No | buy | 259.37 | $0.638 | $165.58 | 4h ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.468 | $23.4 | 4h ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 537.75 | $0.460 | $247.28 | 4h ago |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 367.63 | $0.740 | $272.05 | 15h ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 471.57 | $0.800 | $377.26 | 16h ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | 16h ago |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?No | buy | 265.79 | $0.582 | $154.61 | 16h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 735.17 | $0.084 | $62.01 | 16h ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 7.86K | $0.174 | $1.37K | 16h ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 583 | $0.349 | $203.45 | 18h ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.88K | $0.008 | $47.01 | 20h ago |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 2.59K | $0.101 | $261.8 | 20h ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 459 | $0.319 | $146.29 | 21h ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 507.83 | $0.169 | $85.91 | 21h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.500 | $1.06K | 1d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.560 | $61.61 | 1d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.247 | $76.68 | 1d ago |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.582 | $87.25 | 1d ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 632 | $0.720 | $455.04 | 1d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 680.35 | $0.048 | $32.97 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 2.45K | $0.031 | $75.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 23.75 | $0.278 | $6.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 339.9 | $0.260 | $88.51 | 2d ago |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.178 | $274.51 | 2d ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 411.06 | $0.778 | $319.63 | 2d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.39K | $0.011 | $38.86 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 580.14 | $0.470 | $272.67 | 2d ago |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 388 | $0.721 | $279.56 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 760.29 | $0.430 | $326.92 | 2d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.633 | $285 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.596 | $712.52 | 2d ago |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 6.14K | $0.160 | $981.89 | 2d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.006 | $14.15 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.400 | $799.76 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | 2d ago |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes | sell | 347.19 | $0.222 | $76.93 | 2d ago |
| Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.610 | $91.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 543.35 | $0.236 | $128.3 | 2d ago |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?No | buy | 392.77 | $0.755 | $296.58 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 214.89 | $0.399 | $85.76 | 2d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 727 | $0.001 | $0.95 | 2d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 793.39 | $0.838 | $664.92 | 2d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?Yes | sell | 81.19 | $0.100 | $8.12 | 2d ago |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 287.38 | $0.395 | $113.41 | 2d ago |