Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 44 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 77 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 31.5%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 30% on 21 Aug 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “SSI public model released by…?”.
$20.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $33.48K since listing. The order book holds $384.28, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 475 trades, $2.87K bought Yes and $7.41K bought No; the largest was a $1.17K sell of No at 87.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Cheerful-Nucleotidase with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.6K. Ten wallets hold 75.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 47.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.59K |
| arbandy | No | 1.54K |
| Cheerful-Nucleotidase | Yes | 1.45K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI) releases a model, and that model is made available to the general public between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be an AI model released by SSI or associated with SSI and confirmed as such by SSI or by a consensus of credible reporting. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SSI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SSI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ssi-public-model-released-by-20260810094604188
| aYolo | Yes | 529.02 |
| chooseusername7 | No | 491 |
| Sgnil | No | 338.99 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 311.44 |
| 6F456F7474666A7479 | Yes | 292.92 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 271.47 |
| vtx | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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