Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.734 | $1.25K | +$225 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.002 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.39K |
| $0.805 |
| $1.04K |
| -$76.56 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.807 | $877.8 | -$42.19 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 997.32 | $0.645 | $688.15 | +$44.68 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 620 | $0.710 | $561.1 | +$120.9 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 536.08 | $0.857 | $503.92 | +$44.33 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 300 | $0.930 | $274.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 200 | $0.889 | $194.8 | +$17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 420 | $0.190 | $58.59 | -$21.15 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 720 | $0.014 | $9.36 | -$0.45 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 102.75 | $0.030 | $7.35 | +$4.26 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.500 |
| $125 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.757 | $106 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.753 | $226.03 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 497.32 | $0.570 | $283.47 | 7d ago |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.984 | $295.06 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.880 | $527.74 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.187 | $3.74 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 8d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 663.63 | $0.014 | $9.02 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.840 | $67.2 | 22d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 130 | $0.750 | $97.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.889 | $177.8 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.940 | $282 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.720 | $360 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.999 | $599.4 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 400 | $0.614 | $245.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.721 | $144.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 135 | $0.097 | $13.1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.760 | $760 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.370 | $222 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 794.56 | $0.881 | $700 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.056 | $50.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.120 | $108 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.400 | $280 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up | buy | 500 | $0.450 | $225 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.920 | $27.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 506.97 | $0.789 | $400 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.960 | $384 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.985 | $492.49 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.780 | $312 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.420 | $126 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 436.6 | $0.875 | $382 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.993 | $297.9 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 807 | $0.993 | $801.32 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 86.99 | $0.301 | $26.18 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.449 | $44.87 | May 14, 2026 |
 Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 36.57 | $0.740 | $27.06 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.960 | $314.88 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 207 | $0.810 | $167.67 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 269.28 | $0.840 | $226.2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 163.76 | $0.930 | $152.3 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 665.19 | $0.540 | $359.2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 16.69 | $0.570 | $9.51 | Apr 21, 2026 |