Analytics
Yes is at 3.8%, down 17 points from 21% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 120 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 25 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 41.1%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 5.9% on 15 Oct 2026.
<12 ranks third of the 7 outcomes in “How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?”. 12-15 leads at 78.3%; 16-19 is at 9.8%.
$85 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $42.16K since listing. The order book holds $3.4K, with a 3.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $5.34K bought Yes and $6.1K bought No; the largest was a $1.09K buy of Yes at 53.0¢.
The largest Yes position is arbandy with 12.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 12.7K. Ten wallets hold 89.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 21.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.7K |
| arbandy | Yes | 12.42K |
| dedidanc | No | 1.37K |
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-cities-will-waymo-operate-in-by-december-31-20260626203648850
| Rundown-Regard |
| No |
| 894.67 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 706.97 |
| lottonakamoto | No | 605.21 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 572.2 |
| Leclerc04 | No | 515.24 |
| haouibao | Yes | 440 |
| WageringGrandma | No | 417.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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