Analytics
Yes is at 0.4%, down 39 points from 39% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.7%; a month before, 1.9%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 7% on 2 Jun 2026.
$12.5B–$15B ranks seventh of the 8 outcomes in “Oura IPO Closing Market Cap”. No IPO before January 2027 leads at 94.4%; $20B+ is at 2.5%.
$85.6 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $107.43K since listing. The order book holds $3.55K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.01K bought Yes and $9.8K bought No; the largest was a $1.87K buy of No at 83.0¢.
The largest Yes position is web2256 with 5.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 16.8K. Ten wallets hold 91.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 27 May 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 39.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.78K |
| web2256 | Yes | 5.46K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 2.83K |
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oura-ipo-closing-market-cap
| arbandy | Yes | 1.77K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.04K |
| Ju1ian | Yes | 1.01K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 788.77 |
| Neon Oracle A8A9 | Yes | 600 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 466 |
| balthazar | Yes | 362.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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