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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 3.4 | $0.570 | $3.34 | +$1.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.620 | $1.95 | 2d ago |
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| No |
| 3.8 |
| $0.510 |
| $2.61 |
| +$0.67 |
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | No | 3.05 | $0.640 | $2.45 | +$0.5 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.39 | $0.820 | $2.37 | +$0.41 |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 2.45 | $0.800 | $2.28 | +$0.32 |
Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil? | No | 2.29 | $0.855 | $2.19 | +$0.23 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30? | No | 2.33 | $0.840 | $2.1 | +$0.14 |
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 2.36 | $0.830 | $2.09 | +$0.13 |
Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | No | 3.15 | $0.620 | $2.03 | +$0.08 |
Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? | No | 2.61 | $0.750 | $1.93 | -$0.03 |
Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | No | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.87 | -$0.08 |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | No | 3.15 | $0.620 | $1.86 | -$0.09 |
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat? | No | 27.14 | $0.070 | $1.76 | -$0.14 |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 2.71 | $0.720 | $1.75 | -$0.2 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026? | No | 12.73 | $0.150 | $1.66 | -$0.25 |
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 3.1 | $0.630 | $1.52 | -$0.43 |
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | No | 8.73 | $0.220 | $1.31 | -$0.61 |
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | No | 23.75 | $0.080 | $1.31 | -$0.59 |
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | No | 2.39 | $0.820 | $0.93 | -$1.03 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | 9.55 | $0.200 | $0.3 | -$1.61 |
| buy |
| 12.73 |
| $0.150 |
| $1.91 |
| 2d ago |
Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.750 | $1.96 | 3d ago |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.840 | $1.96 | 7d ago |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.460 | $1.93 | 9d ago |
Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | 13d ago |
Will Reid Hamer-Jackson win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.640 | $1.95 | 13d ago |
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.580 | $1.94 | 14d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.853 | $1.96 | 14d ago |
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.850 | $1.96 | 18d ago |
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?No | buy | 3.15 | $0.620 | $1.95 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.550 | $1.93 | 21d ago |
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.720 | $1.95 | 23d ago |
Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.070 | $1.9 | 24d ago |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.800 | $1.96 | 24d ago |
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 23.75 | $0.080 | $1.9 | 24d ago |
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.830 | $1.96 | 27d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.770 | $1.95 | 27d ago |
Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil?No | buy | 2.29 | $0.855 | $1.96 | 28d ago |
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?No | buy | 8.73 | $0.220 | $1.92 | 29d ago |
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No | buy | 3.1 | $0.630 | $1.95 | 29d ago |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.310 | $1.92 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?No | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.680 | $1.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.570 | $1.94 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.570 | $1.94 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.600 | $1.94 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.560 | $1.93 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.740 | $2.47 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.820 | $1.96 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 3.8 | $0.510 | $1.94 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.658 | $1.95 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.719 | $1.95 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.860 | $1.96 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Matt Boehnke advance to the general election for WA-04?No | buy | 3.34 | $0.580 | $1.94 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.720 | $1.95 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.200 | $1.91 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No | buy | 2.95 | $0.660 | $1.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.820 | $1.96 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.892 | $1.97 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?No | buy | 2.75 | $0.710 | $1.95 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.660 | $1.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.428 | $1.93 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.680 | $1.94 | Jul 14, 2026 |