Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes? | No | 197.89 | $0.948 | $191.36 | +$3.76 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 197.58 |
| $0.840 |
| $182.76 |
| +$16.73 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 147.76 | $0.751 | $125.97 | +$15 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 96.68 | $0.733 | $82.66 | +$11.76 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 322.46 | $0.200 | $46.76 | -$17.74 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 48.13 | $0.410 | $45 | +$25.27 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 51.4 | $0.467 | $27.5 | +$3.49 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 30.01 | $0.610 | $20.26 | +$1.95 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | No | 28.17 | $0.328 | $18.73 | +$9.49 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80.01 | $0.263 | $17.6 | -$3.47 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 20.63 | $0.819 | $17.02 | +$0.11 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 17.56 | $0.838 | $15.54 | +$0.82 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 15 | $0.657 | $13.43 | +$3.58 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 30.56 | $0.476 | $12.38 | -$2.19 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 14.21 | $0.836 | $11.62 | -$0.26 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | Yes | 11.53 | $0.827 | $10.25 | +$0.72 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 16.18 | $0.850 | $9.71 | -$4.04 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 10 | $0.908 | $9.03 | -$0.05 |
 Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.850 | $8.6 | +$0.1 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.493 | $8.36 | -$0.6 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 10 | $0.760 | $7.55 | -$0.05 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | Yes | 10 | $0.760 | $7.1 | -$0.5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.660 | $6.1 | -$0.5 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 10 | $0.690 | $5.85 | -$1.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $5.4 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.590 |
| $2.95 |
| 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.18 | $0.950 | $16.32 | 1d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.260 | $1.35 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.18 | $0.730 | $5.24 | 4d ago |
 GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 9.48 | $0.776 | $7.36 | 6d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.907 | $4.54 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump say "Intel" in September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | 6d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 7d ago |
 Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | 7d ago |
| Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.965 | $5.95 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.909 | $4.55 | 7d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | 7d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 7d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?No | sell | 0.86 | $0.480 | $0.41 | 8d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.650 | $3.23 | 8d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.789 | $3.95 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.670 | $4.08 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 6.42 | $0.250 | $1.61 | 10d ago |
| Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 10d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 10d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | 10d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | 10d ago |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.950 | $0.68 | 10d ago |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Yes | sell | 19.28 | $0.935 | $18.03 | 10d ago |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes | sell | 9.81 | $0.390 | $3.83 | 10d ago |