
Resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96%. Yes opened at 76% on 24 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 31 Aug 2026 and the low 76% on 24 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 86% on 25 Aug 2026. $48.76K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 24 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026 · axis zoomed to 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | 76.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 96.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LovelyPanda | No | 2K |
| asdfaew3 | No | 582.96 |
| kittycat67 | No | 565.99 |
| Ruddy-Warming-Snowplow | No | 515 |
| Jackcz | No | 344.83 |
| NNNNNobita | No | 269.17 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 212.7 |
| akunai | No | 100 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 100 |
| kk22231 | No | 70.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mythos-class-model-released-by
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