Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.988 |
| $1 |
| Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.983 | $0.99 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Diddy?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.011 | $0 | Jan 1, 2025 |
 Will Luigi Mangione fire his lawyer before 2025?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.021 | $0 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Lebron James be traded?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.880 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2024 |
| Will Luigi Mangione fire his lawyer before 2025?Yes | buy | 0.14 | $0.070 | $0.01 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.790 | $0.01 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.890 | $0.01 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.640 | $0.01 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.620 | $0.01 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Nov 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.770 | $0.01 | Nov 16, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.560 | $0.01 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.780 | $0.01 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 X and Truth Social merger announced before August?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.850 | $0.01 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.770 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.950 | $0.01 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.940 | $0.01 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.880 | $0.01 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Mandy Gunasekara for Administrator of the US Environmental Protection Agency?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.830 | $0.01 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.730 | $0.01 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.380 | $0.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 ETHBTC above 0.035 on Nov 30?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.620 | $0.01 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.930 | $0.01 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 S&P500 all time high after election is called?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.840 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.750 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "sex change" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.860 | $0.01 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Vote" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.480 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Trump wins 283-255 - AZ, GA, MI, NV, NCYes | buy | 0.13 | $0.080 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.360 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt SweepNo | buy | 0.01 | $0.985 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Pennsylvania by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.400 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Georgia by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.780 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 AP calls Michigan by 8:00 AM Nov 6?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.600 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.740 | $0.01 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Silver call 45 states correctly?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.910 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.760 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.620 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.916 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 0.02 | $0.570 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.670 | $0.01 | Oct 30, 2024 |