Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.2%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, the highest close was 96.2% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 58.5% on 25 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 61% on 23 Nov 2024. $133.82K traded over the market's life.
454 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 31 Oct 2024 – 12 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2024 | 64.5% |
| 12 Dec 2024 | 96.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 161.8K |
| TimeTraveler | No | 13.1K |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 699.75 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the European Central Bank's (ECB) December 2024 meeting the deposit facility rate is reduced by between 1 (inclusive) and 25 (inclusive) basis points beneath the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for December 12, 2024 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-december-2024
| No |
| 250 |
| Mc499 | Yes | 42.46 |
| Europameister | Yes | 20 |
| Novotrades | Yes | 11.9 |
| manu25 | No | 7.14 |
| Ephemera | Yes | 0.06 |
| Jygfvhj | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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