Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 131 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 27 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Apr 2025. $1.58M traded over the market's life.
172 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 131 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 5.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 🛸👽✨ | Yes | 37.62K |
| oilrig | Yes | 32.36K |
| Rundown-Issue | Yes | 28.04K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists between January 20, 2025, and April 29, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-administration-confirms-aliens-exist-in-first-100-days
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 20.04K |
| syk84 | Yes | 18.77K |
| casnax | Yes | 11.45K |
| gingerbreadmanfox | Yes | 6.2K |
| Eribitgu | Yes | 6.11K |
| RojakEveryday | Yes | 6.01K |
| SasukeUchih4 | Yes | 4.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
