Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 23.5%. Yes opened at 58.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 76.5% on 6 Nov 2024 and the lowest 58.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 76.5% on 6 Nov 2024. $13.05K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 31 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2024 | 58.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dearest-Paperwork | Yes | 25 |
| Useful-Independence | Yes | 20 |
| Travisxx | Yes | 0.07 |
| iaivan | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election for Michigan by November 6, 2024, 7:59:59 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-ap-call-michigan-by-800-am-nov-6
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Leiox | Yes | 0.06 |
| RosyP | Yes | 0.05 |
| Chrissistar04 | Yes | 0.03 |
| givememoney-543 | Yes | 0.03 |
| JustZen | No | 0.03 |
| schwasi | Yes | 0.02 |
