Kamala wins 275-263 - Sunbelt Sweep

politicsResolved

No, settled Nov 7, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.9K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 7, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2024 to 7 Nov 2024, the highest close was 3.5% on 31 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 7 Nov 2024. $11.91K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 10:23 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 31 Oct 2024 – 7 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Oct 2024	3.5%
7 Nov 2024	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MarsLife	Yes	1.43K
Muxi	Yes	512.82
ER01MM	Yes	290.17
Solar Beacon C47C	Yes	135.14

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Note: This market is about Kamala Harris winning with exactly 275 electoral votes, with this specific configuration: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/kamala+275.png. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris secures exactly 275 electoral votes in the 2024 United States Presidential Election by winning the following states and districts: Arizona (11), California (54), Colorado (10), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Georgia (16), Hawaii (4), Illinois (19), Maine (3 out of 4 electoral votes, including the 1st Congressional District and the At-Large vote), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Minnesota (10), Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District (1), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), New Jersey (14), New Mexico (5), New York (28), North Carolina (16), Oregon (8), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Virginia (13), and Washington (12). If Kamala Harris does not win exactly these states and districts, thereby securing exactly 275 electoral votes, this market will resolve to "No." A candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors will not be considered. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting (including AP, NBC, Fox) on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.