Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.981 | $17.83 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 114.29 |
| $0.140 |
| $16 |
| Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump win another state by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.040 | $3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Arkansas by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Trump win Arkansas by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Trump win 1 swing state?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.085 | $5.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 240 | $0.003 | $0.72 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 1.44K | $0.018 | $26 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 96.76 | $0.230 | $22.25 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 24.13 | $0.150 | $3.62 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the election but loses Michigan?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 276-262 - PA, NV, MI, WIYes | buy | 23.53 | $0.085 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Kamala wins 287-251 - PA, NV, MI, WI, AZYes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.041 | $6.83 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.054 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.052 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.042 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+Yes | buy | 63.32 | $0.032 | $2 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 76.67 | $0.003 | $0.23 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 372.73 | $0.022 | $8.2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | sell | 588.66 | $0.014 | $8.24 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 236.36 | $0.022 | $5.2 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Indiana US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 401.31 | $0.024 | $9.63 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Georgia by 3.0%-4.0%?Yes | sell | 116.27 | $0.048 | $5.58 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 300 | $0.023 | $6.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.5K | $0.004 | $6 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 1.61K | $0.008 | $12.91 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 5.15K | $0.004 | $20.6 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214Yes | sell | 130.43 | $0.035 | $4.57 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump win 2 swing states?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.100 | $11.11 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 1.17K | $0.004 | $4.67 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 4.67K | $0.001 | $4.67 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 42.5 | $0.004 | $0.17 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | buy | 5.34K | $0.004 | $21 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 382.35 | $0.017 | $6.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win New Mexico US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.040 | $6.67 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 464.27 | $0.012 | $5.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?No | sell | 388.53 | $0.014 | $5.44 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 347.06 | $0.017 | $5.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win Wisconsin by 3%-4.0%?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.072 | $5.76 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 647.06 | $0.017 | $11 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes | sell | 11.08K | $0.001 | $11.08 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 1.53K | $0.017 | $26 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 992.31 | $0.016 | $16 | Nov 4, 2024 |