Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 14 Dec 2024 to 6 Feb 2025, the highest close was 50% on 14 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.8% on 2 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11.5% on 15 Dec 2024. $70.67K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 9:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 14 Dec 2024 – 6 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| phonsoswag | Yes | 714.29 |
| Kelvinp | Yes | 106.58 |
| gandalf | Yes | 100 |
| Joshthebigdog | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James of the Los Angeles Lakers is traded before the trade deadline for the 2024-2025 NBA season, currently scheduled for February 6, 2025 3:00 PM ET, goes into effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market’s resolution source will be official announcements from the NBA, the Los Angeles Lakers, or the Klutch Sports Group, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lebron-james-be-traded
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| JackHutch | Yes | 14.21 |
| benoity | Yes | 0.15 |
| erfghnm0500 | Yes | 0.08 |
| gideon92 | Yes | 0.07 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes | 0.05 |
| Djkleingeld | No | 0.04 |
