S&P500 all time high after election is called?

Resolved

Yes, settled Nov 6, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$18.1K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 6, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2024 to 6 Nov 2024, the highest close was 50% on 2 Nov 2024 and the lowest 17% on 3 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17% on 3 Nov 2024. $18.07K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:08 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2024 – 6 Nov 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 Nov 2024	50.0%
6 Nov 2024	34.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
curious-canadian	No	123.46
Danilya	No	0.09
kienguyenguyen	Yes	0.06
ghvbbv	Yes	0.05

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 hits an all time high price during market hours after a winner is called in the 2024 US Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is called during market hours, this market will resolve based on the S&P 500 highest price during the remainder of that day's market hours. If the election is called after market hours, this market will resolve based on figures between market open and market close on the first trading day after the election is called. The winner will be considered "called" once the Associated Press declares a winner in this election. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC).