Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 36.3% on 20 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 13.4% on 21 Dec 2024. $91.52K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 5:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 8.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 1.73 |
| bundesligue1 | Yes | 0.92 |
| localbtc | No | 0.05 |
| NiBe | No | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luigi Mangione's lawyer Thomas Dickey ceases to be a member of his legal counsel by December 31, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-luigi-mangione-fire-his-lawyer-before-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| shaltury | No | 0.02 |
| stptencurry31 | No | 0.02 |
| Marty-Byrde | No | 0.02 |
| Joshthebigdog | No | 0.01 |
