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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Mar 4, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.1 |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Sam Altman arrested before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.188 | $3.76 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.141 | $2.81 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.133 | $1.71 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.142 | $2.84 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.430 | $17.2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 11.65 | $0.844 | $9.83 | Feb 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.156 | $3.12 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?No | sell | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.121 | $2.42 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Feb 9, 2025 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?No | buy | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | Feb 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?No | sell | 40 | $0.720 | $28.8 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April?No | buy | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?Yes | sell | 41.53 | $0.130 | $5.4 | Feb 1, 2025 |
 Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.450 | $18 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.261 | $1.31 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Jan 28, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.540 | $6.48 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be drafted in the First Round?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.760 | $30.42 | Jan 25, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.18 | $0.720 | $10.21 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.280 | $11.21 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.760 | $15.73 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.760 | $2.16 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | sell | 47.16 | $0.240 | $11.32 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?No | sell | 46.85 | $0.850 | $39.82 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?No | buy | 9.54 | $0.900 | $8.59 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?No | sell | 40 | $0.970 | $38.8 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on China in his first week?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.030 | $1.2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.596 | $23.84 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?No | sell | 40 | $0.504 | $20.18 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?No | sell | 40 | $0.690 | $27.6 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?No | sell | 40 | $0.870 | $34.8 | Jan 21, 2025 |
| Will 26-29m people watch Trump inauguration?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.19 | Jan 21, 2025 |