Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 39.5% on 15 Dec 2024 and the low 0.3% on 25 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 39.5% on 15 Dec 2024. $72.3K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 140 points · 12 Dec 2024 – 30 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 27.0% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 12.35K |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 479.85 |
| DEFIANT-130 | Yes | 364.16 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state, between December 10, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-in-first-100-days
| Yes |
| 35 |
| Yanondal | Yes | 17 |
| RPDegen | Yes | 8.33 |
| c14rk | No | 6.85 |
| Kingpin619 | No | 4.35 |
| Cravly | Yes | 0.83 |
| thestis | Yes | 0.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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