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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance say "Free speech" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | May 24, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 21.74 |
| $0.230 |
| $5 |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.838 | $5.98 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Elon say "Department of Education" during their Feb 18 interview?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will 'Nosferatu' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Chris Christie attend presidential inauguration?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.037 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Hillary Clinton attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Bill Clinton attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Barack Obama attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 50.25 | $0.020 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 11, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign before inauguration?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.100 | $1.82 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 15.07 | $0.730 | $11 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Daniel Penny found guilty?Yes | buy | 110.55 | $0.543 | $60 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Irakli Kobakhidze out as Georgia PM in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will 'Moana 2' gross between $165-180m on 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of 70-74?Yes | buy | 598.41 | $0.017 | $10 | Nov 30, 2024 |
| Will "Moana 2" have a Tomatometer score of less than 60?Yes | buy | 619.66 | $0.016 | $10 | Nov 30, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Cosmo Jarvis announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Anderson Cooper out as CNN anchor in 2024?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "unemployment" 5 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "IQ" in his next speech?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his next speech?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Nov 19, 2024 |