Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 52% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 99.3% on 15 Jan 2025 and the low 52% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 91.5% on 8 Nov 2024. $71.34K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 75 points · 7 Nov 2024 – 20 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 52.0% |
| 20 Jan 2025 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlessedGuy | No | 504.26 |
| meronbox | No | 252.9 |
| Big-Mortise | No | 193.18 |
| Rektcake | No | 125 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George W. Bush attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-trump-inauguration
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| IoMe | No | 111.11 |
| vicegalaxy | No | 26.32 |
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | No | 20 |
| RPDegen | No | 18.18 |
| NLo | No | 10 |
| MarK | No | 10 |
