Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 4 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 4 Dec 2024 to 9 Dec 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 4 Dec 2024 and the lowest 24% on 8 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 35.5% on 5 Dec 2024. $450.23K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 10, 7:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Dec 2024 – 9 Dec 2024, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2024 | 52.5% |
| 9 Dec 2024 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ahahahah | Yes | 2.07K |
| Chaos-Lover | Yes | 669.62 |
| iAmNotorious | Yes | 196.35 |
| rewop-413 | Yes | 49.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny is found guilty of the charge of Manslaughter or Criminally Negligent Homicide in his ongoing New York Court trial by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Daniel Penny ongoing trial is dismissed, ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or results in a mistrial without Penny being found guilty of either charge, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/daniel-penny-found-guilty
| ModernWhale4 | Yes | 20 |
| lastOne-448 | No | 14.08 |
| Vivo00 | Yes | 10 |
| H2g38K12 | Yes | 8.2 |
| arandiabrigandi | Yes | 2.08 |
| abidullakuwait | No | 2.04 |
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