Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 13 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 16.5% on 15 Dec 2024. $118.91K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 20.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TriaKube | Yes | 3.47K |
| Lunar Oracle 78CC | Yes | 900 |
| Emerald Voyager F4F0 | Yes | 800 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any property owned by Shawn Corey Carter, a.k.a. Jay-Z, is raided by U.S. law enforcement by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This encompasses any actions taken by any U.S. law enforcement including police and federal agencies to search properties owned by Jay-Z. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government or law enforcement agencies. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/feds-raid-jay-z-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 383 |
| jellycatcat | Yes | 350 |
| Tse02658 | Yes | 243.9 |
| bphiMxmBTC | Yes | 199 |
| IOCMwDhwDf | Yes | 171 |
| jCeNoREPzz | Yes | 150 |
| OhhYes | Yes | 150 |
