Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 19 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2024 to 19 Mar 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 19 Mar 2025 and the lowest 58.5% on 3 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 74% on 11 Jan 2025. $17.16M traded over the market's life.
442 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 9:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 19 Dec 2024 – 19 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2024 | 59.5% |
| 19 Mar 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8M |
| Mkb456 | No | 258.32K |
| RunItUp | No | 222.22K |
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's March 2025 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for March 18 - 19, 2025 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march
| No |
| 111.64K |
| reews | No | 79.16K |
| Piercing-Reserve | No | 78.14K |
| thumberton | No | 64.33K |
| placeholdernamehere | No | 59.41K |
| praverbs | No | 48.98K |
| Orange4200 | No | 44.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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