Bitcoin up in Q1 2025?

cryptoResolved

Down, settled Apr 1, 2025 UTC

0.0%

Down

100.0%

Final Up 0¢Final Down 100¢

Lifetime volume

$591.5K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Apr 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 1 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 100%. The Up side opened at 68% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 72% on 26 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 52% on 3 Mar 2025. $591.51K traded over the market's life.

116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 1 Apr 2025

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
8 Jan 2025	68.0%
1 Apr 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
pulan	Up	3.42K
Fartard	Up	3.27K
2000000wwwwwwbtc	Up	2.04K

10 of 116 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT on 31 March '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “close” price is higher than 93,445.45. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT on 31 March '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “close” price is lower than 93,445.45. This market will resolve to "50-50" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTCUSDT on 31 March '25 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “close” price is of precisely 93,445.45. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTCUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.