No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$414.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House Fed and FOMC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 83.5% on 13 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2024 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 1 Jul 2025 and the lowest 70% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 75.9% on 7 Jun 2025. $413.98K traded over the market's life.

80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 13 Dec 2024 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 60%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Dec 2024	83.5%
1 Jul 2025	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	33.36K
WethBet	No	5.4K
Lozer	No	199.98

Rules

How this market was settled

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026 (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump does not announce his pick for Federal Reserve Chair by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will, resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.