Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 111 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 12 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 16% on 13 Dec 2024. $216.15K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 111 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 23.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| joetarded | Yes | 1.19K |
| Rare-Meander | Yes | 820.56 |
| HezbollahWarrior | Yes | 136.45 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time between December 10, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM Israel Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Netanyahu has remained Prime Minister of Israel for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netanyahu-out-before-april
| Yes |
| 130 |
| aka06 | Yes | 16.67 |
| notagambler9 | Yes | 14.29 |
| vfweqtuyii | No | 8.48 |
| Bettor29 | Yes | 7.5 |
| wiNnvtxhHb | Yes | 3 |
| CrybtoPets | No | 1.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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