Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 21% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 120 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 21% on 3 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 13% on 4 Dec 2024. $926.08K traded over the market's life.
244 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 120 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 21.0% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China between December 2, 2024, and March 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place. Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-china-unban-bitcoin-by-march-31-2025
| Yes |
| 6.13K |
| jw23 | Yes | 3K |
| Betski246 | Yes | 2.4K |
| BuenosAaron | Yes | 2.12K |
| LFGTTM | Yes | 1.68K |
| katiaeth | Yes | 1.34K |
| slecin | Yes | 1.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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