Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 23 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2024 to 17 Dec 2024, the highest close was 78.5% on 23 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 9 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 58 points down, to 10.5% on 7 Nov 2024. $5.47M traded over the market's life.
1,000 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 18, 8:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 23 Oct 2024 – 17 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2024 | 78.5% |
| 17 Dec 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fair-Magic | Yes | 28.3K |
| JozeFinn | Yes | 22.87K |
| Gregarious-Experiment | Yes | 18.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
According to uselectionatlas.org there were 158,594,895 votes cast in 2020 Presidential election (see: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are 158,594,896 or more votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/record-turnout-in-2024-presidential-election
| Yes |
| 17.81K |
| romero318 | Yes | 10K |
| coinflipper | Yes | 9.14K |
| Jaded-Mission | Yes | 7.31K |
| RussianHacker | Yes | 6.94K |
| whatpriceglory | Yes | 5.18K |
| thewinningtrader | Yes | 5K |
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