Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Jan 23, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$104.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 23, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 23 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 76% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2024 to 23 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 23 Jan 2025 and the lowest 69.5% on 14 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.9 points up, to 95.3% on 21 Jan 2025. $104.63K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:07 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 23 Jan 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
13 Nov 2024	76.0%
23 Jan 2025	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
rousseauuu	No	1.2K
Cinemaho1ic	No	444
PolyDump	No	400

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration, withdraws the US from the Paris Climate Accords by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement from Trump before he takes office will not qualify. A withdrawal such as Trump Administration’s withdrawal from the accords in 2019 announced on November 4, 2019 would qualify (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/on-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-the-paris-agreement/) The primary resolution source will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.