Latest trade
Apr 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
pd2 is down $688.1 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Apr 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 6:49 PM UTC.
$100.28 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Dec 10, 2024 UTC to Apr 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 2.93K | $0.956 | $2.88K | +$77.72 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 2.93K | $0.956 | $2.8K | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-15 02:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 18:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 18:49 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-15 02:54 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.18K and losing ones cost $1.77K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $159.28 on “Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?” (Yes); the largest loss, $400 on “Will Biden pardon Fauci?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Apr 2026. It has traded 61 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.88K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 234.78 |
| $0.992 |
| $232.9 |
| Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Dec 13, 2025 UTC |
 Is Jeffrey Epstein alive?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.974 | $2.29K | Jul 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 232.83 | $0.859 | $200 | Jul 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 200.07 | $0.910 | $182.06 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.988 | $1.14K | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 XRP all time high in May?No | buy | 157.89 | $0.950 | $150 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Celsius founder sentenced to 20+ years?No | buy | 182.06 | $0.824 | $150 | May 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 141.3 | $0.460 | $65 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
| Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 138.3 | $0.470 | $65 | Feb 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 303.98 | $0.973 | $295.77 | Feb 15, 2025 UTC |
 DeepSeek banned in US before April?No | buy | 369.5 | $0.865 | $319.75 | Jan 28, 2025 UTC |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 161.03 | $0.800 | $128.82 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?No | buy | 106.44 | $0.939 | $100 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?Yes | buy | 144.81 | $0.691 | $100 | Jan 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before June?No | buy | 853.38 | $0.946 | $806.88 | Jan 21, 2025 UTC |
 Sam Altman arrested before July?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 61.04 | $0.983 | $60 | Jan 8, 2025 UTC |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?No | buy | 132.89 | $0.752 | $100 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?No | sell | 495.76 | $0.867 | $429.72 | Jan 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "McDonald's" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 110.51 | $0.943 | $104.18 | Jan 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Adrian Dittman prove he's not Elon Musk?No | buy | 495.76 | $0.760 | $376.78 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Solana above $185 on January 3?Yes | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?No | buy | 95.01 | $0.954 | $90.64 | Dec 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden pardon Trump?No | buy | 104.93 | $0.953 | $100 | Dec 27, 2024 UTC |
 Drone detection legislation passes in 2024?No | buy | 63.88 | $0.997 | $63.69 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 No Opensea token launch by July?No | buy | 56.5 | $0.885 | $50 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 153.61 | $0.977 | $150 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Fact Check: Was the money planted on Luigi Mangione?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Emilia Perez' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?Yes | buy | 104.85 | $0.954 | $100 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'A Different Man' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | buy | 110.33 | $0.906 | $100 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Gladiator 2' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Dec 22, 2024 UTC |
 Will Elon respond to OpenAI today?Yes | buy | 233.99 | $0.427 | $100 | Dec 13, 2024 UTC |
 World Chess Championship 2024 WinnerDing | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | Dec 11, 2024 UTC |
 Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.900 | $43.9 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?No | sell | 43.35 | $0.991 | $42.96 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 276.5 | $0.896 | $247.85 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 208.33 | $0.955 | $198.85 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 51.75 | $0.965 | $49.94 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 116.31 | $0.865 | $100.56 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Hailey Welch jail in 2024?No | sell | 103.24 | $0.974 | $100.56 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 111.1 | $0.900 | $99.99 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 286.38 | $0.900 | $257.74 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
 Will XRP flip ETH in 2024?No | sell | 262.92 | $0.980 | $257.65 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Yes | buy | 140.48 | $0.744 | $104.47 | Dec 10, 2024 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.