Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Dec 2024.
$168.77K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 15, 9:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 14 Dec 2024, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2024 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| metaold8 | Yes | 47.78 |
| Emerald Falcon 810C | Yes | 30 |
| oooo1411 | Yes | 20 |
| tacobytes | No | 1.35 |
| bebiy | Yes | 0.2 |
| belloy | Yes | 0.2 |
| Justtesting-341 | No | 0.17 |
| Cosinussatz69 | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On December 13, OpenAI posted a statement claiming that Elon Musk wanted the company to become a for-profit and "demanded majority equity, absolute control, and to be CEO" (see: https://openai.com/index/elon-musk-wanted-an-openai-for-profit/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk makes any public statement (including X posts) addressing the OpenAi statement by December 13, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Replies that Elon Musk makes to posts commenting on the situation will count, even if they are short (e.g. saying "Yes" to a post about OpenAI's statement will count). The primary resolution source for this market will be statements from Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-respond-to-openai-today
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