Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 95.2%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2025 to 3 Mar 2025, the highest close was 96.4% on 26 Feb 2025 and the lowest 69.5% on 22 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 79.5% on 23 Jan 2025. $154.47K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 1:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 22 Jan 2025 – 3 Mar 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2025 | 69.5% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | 95.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 21.51K |
| oc.camilo | No | 1K |
| Sophia0x | No | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Supporting Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-best-supporting-actor
| No |
| 41.67 |
| greenhill | Yes | 6.67 |
| Jzm | No | 3.57 |
| Snoorrason | No | 0.08 |
| pz4y | No | 0.07 |
| epstes | Yes | 0.04 |
| maniputakl | Yes | 0.03 |
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