Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 225 | $0.910 | $220.05 | +$15.3 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 29 | $0.980 | $28.42 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 12 |
| $0.989 |
| $11.87 |
| Jul 3, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 57 | $0.940 | $53.58 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent in 2025?No | buy | 152 | $0.940 | $142.88 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No | buy | 26 | $0.976 | $25.38 | May 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 44 | $0.910 | $40.04 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential ElectionNo | buy | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | May 7, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?No | buy | 7 | $0.960 | $6.72 | May 2, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.930 | $5.58 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No | buy | 16 | $0.993 | $15.89 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 6 | $0.987 | $5.92 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.821 | $7.32 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March?No | sell | 11.6 | $0.944 | $10.95 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will Jaylen Wells win NBA Rookie of the Year?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.910 | $90.99 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?No | sell | 9.29 | $0.924 | $8.58 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.941 | $37.62 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 40 | $0.988 | $39.5 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 OpenSea airdrop before July?Yes | sell | 85.73 | $0.622 | $53.29 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 40 | $0.932 | $37.28 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | sell | 40.01 | $0.914 | $36.59 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?No | sell | 38 | $0.962 | $36.56 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Pepe ETF in 2025?No | sell | 37.87 | $0.930 | $35.23 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 79.14 | $0.849 | $67.21 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 77.2 | $0.959 | $74.05 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?No | sell | 65.95 | $0.891 | $58.75 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?No | sell | 100 | $0.966 | $96.62 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.650 | $975 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?No | sell | 6.88 | $0.961 | $6.61 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.866 | $8.66 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 25% steel tariff in effect before May?Yes | sell | 18.95 | $0.937 | $17.76 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Atalanta win the Serie A?No | sell | 68.91 | $0.915 | $63.05 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?No | sell | 68.76 | $0.883 | $60.72 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025?No | sell | 49.01 | $0.800 | $39.21 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Opensea token market cap (FDV) $15b or more one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.962 | $28.86 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 DeepSeek banned in US before July?No | sell | 38.65 | $0.900 | $34.79 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Cursor support Grok-3 before April?Yes | sell | 33.8 | $0.871 | $29.44 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 10 | $0.877 | $8.77 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 10 | $0.921 | $9.21 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.945 | $18.88 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.928 | $9.28 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 20 | $0.923 | $18.46 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?Yes | sell | 18.93 | $0.917 | $17.36 | Mar 6, 2025 |