Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 21 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 194 daily closes on record from 21 Dec 2024 to 2 Jul 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 2 Jul 2025 and the lowest 4% on 22 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 4% on 22 Dec 2024. $77.88K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 3, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 194 points, 21 Dec 2024 – 2 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2024 | 20.5% |
| 2 Jul 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 33.25K |
| TimeTraveler | No | 3.11K |
| razorscreech | No | 110.67 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no token launched by Opensea before June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “locked” tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. “1 day after launch” is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/opensea-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
| Mojsklad | No | 68.12 |
| pd2 | No | 56.5 |
| HardlyDifficult | Yes | 18.66 |
| Ridden | No | 7 |
| randazvan | No | 6.06 |
| bozocm | No | 5.4 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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