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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Jan 23, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 31.25 |
| $0.320 |
| $10 |
| Jan 22, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 TikTok on App Store again before February?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 21.83 | $0.229 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 41.88 | $0.239 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?Yes | buy | 11.51 | $0.869 | $10 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden say "Felon" during farewell address?Yes | sell | 12.96 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "hope" 3 or more times during farewell address?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.010 | $0.01 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "hope" 3 or more times during farewell address?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "old" during farewell address?Yes | sell | 7.31 | $0.010 | $0.07 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Jill" during farewell address?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "inflation" during farewell address?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.020 | $0.13 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Trump" during farewell address?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.100 | $0.5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "malarkey" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "malarkey" during farewell address?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Obama" during farewell address?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "pardon" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Folks" 3 or more times during farewell address?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Obama" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "peaceful transition" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "pardon" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Folks" 3 or more times during farewell address?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "malarkey" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "inflation" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "pardon" during farewell address?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "old" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO before July?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 12, 2025 |