Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.2% on 15 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 169 daily closes on record from 15 Dec 2024 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 22 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 May 2025. $285.09K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 169 points, 15 Dec 2024 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2024 | 4.2% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Loser4real56 | Yes | 2K |
| adlybill | Yes | 912.51 |
| magaoncemore | Yes | 598 |
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-migrate-from-sha-256-before-june
| Cosmic Oracle A3DB | Yes | 338.96 |
| 0XYETb | Yes | 300 |
| Azure Lynx AE43 | Yes | 231.38 |
| doruk | Yes | 231.14 |
| ETF-505 | Yes | 208.33 |
| xVDDERdTos | Yes | 153.33 |
| LZYMNY | Yes | 106.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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