Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, the highest close was 20.5% on 7 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.6% on 10 Dec 2024. $576.56K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 3:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 12 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 15.0% |
| 12 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 58.37K |
| sergeycirov | Yes | 7.88K |
| cryptoloverforever | Yes | 763.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on who will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year in 2024.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/time-2024-person-of-the-year
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 332.94 |
| Cormai | Yes | 71.43 |
| Ademoba | Yes | 47.62 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 20 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 20 |
| OttomateK | Yes | 17.65 |
| Savage1984 | Yes | 15 |
