Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 12 Feb 2025, the highest close was 32.2% on 22 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.3% on 12 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 4.5% on 8 Feb 2025. $2.22M traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 13, 7:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 12 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 20.5% |
| 12 Feb 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AzariahJuby | Yes | 59.88K |
| Vivid-Ruin | Yes | 56.93K |
| citylightsfox | Yes | 3.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first confirmation vote for Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence. If Gabbard's nomination is withdrawn or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. Announcements from Bernie Sanders that he will vote for Gabbard will not qualify. Only an affirmative vote will count. The primary resolution source will be official information form the U.S. senate, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-tulsi-gabbard
| Yes |
| 2.13K |
| Friendly-Metallurgist | Yes | 699.63 |
| Tulsihead | Yes | 283.31 |
| BalasubramaniyamS | Yes | 186.32 |
| JulioPfaff4547 | Yes | 143.79 |
| CeeJay13 | Yes | 106.01 |
| Hootzy | Yes | 105.22 |
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