Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 295 | $0.640 | $188.8 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 158 |
| $0.690 |
| $109.02 |
| Apr 23, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 204 | $0.630 | $128.52 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.150 | $11.25 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.190 | $2.85 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 49.58 | $0.964 | $47.8 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.160 | $12 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.190 | $4.37 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.470 | $14.1 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?No | sell | 88 | $0.985 | $86.68 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.86 | $0.440 | $2.14 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 190 | $0.975 | $185.25 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 47.5 | $0.920 | $43.7 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 127.35 | $0.910 | $115.89 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?No | sell | 54.82 | $0.978 | $53.62 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.977 | $9.77 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.350 | $0.12 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?No | sell | 211 | $0.979 | $206.58 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Trump cuts taxes in first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?No | sell | 483.32 | $0.970 | $468.82 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?No | sell | 194.66 | $0.977 | $190.18 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 20.44 | $0.978 | $19.99 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Trump signs national abortion ban?No | buy | 60 | $0.940 | $56.4 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.400 | $12 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | sell | 30 | $0.008 | $0.24 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Mar 26, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?No | buy | 285 | $0.850 | $242.25 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | sell | 29 | $0.986 | $28.59 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?No | sell | 144 | $0.504 | $72.54 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 28 | $0.580 | $16.24 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service in first 100 days?No | buy | 30.64 | $0.600 | $18.38 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?No | buy | 435.89 | $0.860 | $374.87 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.87 | $0.520 | $2.53 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | sell | 79 | $0.560 | $44.24 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?No | buy | 28 | $0.610 | $17.08 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.670 | $7.77 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March?No | buy | 29 | $0.850 | $24.65 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 29 | $0.630 | $18.27 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?No | sell | 55 | $0.860 | $47.3 | Mar 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 55 | $0.390 | $21.45 | Mar 16, 2025 |