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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.967 |
| $1 |
| Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Melania Trump be deported?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will Solana hit $300 in March?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.919 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.110 | $0.92 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.069 | $1 | Mar 2, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 before April?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
DeepSeek V4 released before May?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
DeepSeek R2 released before May?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 68.08 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump's 538 approval rating be 48.5% or higher on March 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump cut Ukraine off from Starlink?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.475 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.4 | $0.038 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Mar 1, 2025 |