Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 41% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 213 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 7 Aug 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 7 Aug 2025 and the lowest 41% on 7 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 79.5% on 8 Jan 2025. $580.25K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 213 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 7 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 41.0% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| polala | No | 16.08K |
| DontTrustFakeMedia | No | 5K |
| mulausha | No | 5K |
This is a market on predicting the release date of GPT-5.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released
| BabyYoda12 | No | 4.57K |
| johnwicks | No | 4.13K |
| Kmm2256 | No | 3.5K |
| Sunrise99 | No | 3.46K |
| Nancy-Pelosi | No | 3.4K |
| Opi | No | 1.67K |
| Nimo | No | 1.57K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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