Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.32K | $0.189 | $215.8 | -$410.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.130 | $248.69 | Aug 4, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.64K |
| $0.200 |
| $327.98 |
| Jul 25, 2025 |
 New pandemic in 2025?Yes | sell | 743.4 | $0.090 | $66.91 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?No | buy | 4.22K | $0.260 | $1.1K | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 1.98K | $0.250 | $495 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?Yes | buy | 849.72 | $0.990 | $841.22 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 377.48 | $0.083 | $31.23 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | sell | 509.65 | $0.301 | $153.29 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | buy | 952.58 | $0.310 | $295.1 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.172 | $1 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.46K | $0.110 | $1.48K | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jan 14, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | sell | 10.41K | $0.390 | $4.06K | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?No | buy | 59.82 | $0.280 | $16.75 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.041 | $0.81 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?Yes | sell | 66.22 | $0.782 | $51.78 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 New pandemic before July?Yes | buy | 2.42K | $0.110 | $266.42 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| ARCH Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?No | buy | 976.58 | $0.340 | $331.98 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?No | buy | 536.73 | $0.354 | $190.26 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.600 | $180 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.120 | $146.86 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.660 | $1.13K | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 78.45 | $0.028 | $2.22 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.030 | $48.93 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 4.64K | $0.031 | $142.13 | Jan 5, 2025 |
| Election certified on January 6?No | buy | 2.21K | $0.032 | $70.77 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 217 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 179.68 | $0.198 | $35.66 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 216 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?No | buy | 30 | $0.067 | $2 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.045 | $14 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.031 | $1.23 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 129.77 | $0.016 | $2.08 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?Yes | buy | 221 | $0.029 | $6.47 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in five or more ballots?Yes | buy | 123.4 | $0.150 | $18.51 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No | buy | 2.59K | $0.054 | $139.6 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 217 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 217 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 299.11 | $0.900 | $269.2 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 215 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in five or more ballots?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.080 | $14.4 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?No | buy | 714.67 | $0.078 | $55.66 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.680 | $1.82K | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 557.41 | $0.175 | $97.28 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| 218 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?Yes | buy | 350.43 | $0.110 | $38.55 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Yes | buy | 145.18 | $0.110 | $15.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?Yes | buy | 311.07 | $0.905 | $281.58 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?No | buy | 1.82K | $0.490 | $891.23 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?Yes | sell | 4.38K | $0.041 | $180.92 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?No | buy | 200.51 | $0.480 | $96.24 | Jan 3, 2025 |