Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 24 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2025 to 16 Mar 2025, the highest close was 9.5% on 24 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 15 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.2 points down, to 1.5% on 10 Mar 2025. $252.74K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 24 Feb 2025 – 16 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2025 | 9.5% |
| 16 Mar 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| A.Sandomeer | Yes | 2.28K |
| Orko | Yes | 351.21 |
| Sly. | Yes | 288.57 |
| klnkln13 | Yes | 140 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk, Starlink Services, or the Trump administration announces, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that Starlink has been shut off in Ukraine, or for Ukrainian military use by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, Starlink Services, or the Trump administration; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-cut-ukraine-off-from-starlink
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mattosak | Yes | 94.67 |
| yarchuk | Yes | 78.45 |
| Fofan-309 | Yes | 73 |
| Relieved-Substance | Yes | 61.52 |
| Cormac | Yes | 20 |
| Pomelo411Z | Yes | 16.67 |
