Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 9 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 83 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 9 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.9 points down, to 4.6% on 20 Feb 2025. $9.79K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 1:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 83 points, 9 Jan 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | Yes | 96.43 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 54.51 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On January 7, Sam Altman tweeted a letter responding to a lawsuit filed against him by his sister Annie Altman (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770). This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that Sam Altman has reached a settlement with his sister, Annie Altman by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-sam-altman-settle-with-his-sister-before-april
| Yes |
| 10 |
| H4tran | No | 5.68 |
| hushengkui | Yes | 2.63 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
