Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 310 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 9.7% on 13 Dec 2025. $1.28M traded over the market's life.
549 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 310 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 22.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 345.37K |
| mr.grandmother | Yes | 115.67K |
| Sniveling-Cliff | Yes | 11.74K |
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of Gold Card participants by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-gold-cards-will-trump-sell-in-2025
| BidenVoter | Yes | 9.3K |
| ihsxvn | Yes | 9.28K |
| TKJPN | Yes | 8.79K |
| BetaBetaBeta | Yes | 6.41K |
| Outlandish-Sprat | Yes | 5.87K |
| isanelyprofitable | Yes | 5K |
| oscgn | Yes | 4.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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