Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.3% on 27 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 27 Mar 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 1.9% on 16 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2025. $231.11K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 27 Mar 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Mar 2025 | 1.3% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 1K |
| Ladysolsol | Yes | 166.67 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 65.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is officially deported from the United States by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Melania from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-melania-trump-be-deported
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 2.03 |
| fammitch6722 | Yes | 2 |
| adamwilliams | No | 1.24 |
| blkn | No | 1.01 |
| Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz | No | 0.07 |
| Donkov | No | 0.04 |
| Bertapotamous | No | 0.02 |
