Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 3K | $0.960 | $2.88K | +$1.5 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 584.49 | $0.001 | $0.58 | 3d ago |
|
| No |
| 1K |
| $0.986 |
| $994.5 |
| +$8.5 |
 Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | No | 800.01 | $0.966 | $778.81 | +$5.7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 699.99 | $0.960 | $678.64 | +$6.75 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 542.73 | $0.925 | $507.45 | +$5.43 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 400.05 | $0.917 | $383.44 | +$16.58 |
 Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 264.84 | $0.940 | $256.24 | +$7.15 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 254.34 | $0.924 | $247.6 | +$12.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.137 | $182.5 | -$161 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 300 | $0.520 | $142.5 | -$13.5 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 820.17 | $0.179 | $118.52 | -$28.63 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 44.05K | $0.003 | $110.11 | -$17.05 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | No | 100.02 | $0.934 | $96.91 | +$3.53 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 946.19 | $0.120 | $92.73 | -$21.01 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.3K | $0.004 | $68.24 | -$28.83 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.44K | $0.026 | $57.44 | -$7 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.037 | $53.25 | -$2.39 |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3K | $0.009 | $46.49 | +$18.94 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 53.65 | $0.696 | $46.4 | +$9.04 |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7K | $0.008 | $45.5 | -$10.5 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.37K | $0.006 | $43.42 | -$64.84 |
 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5K | $0.010 | $42.5 | -$7.5 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 155.87 | $0.232 | $37.49 | +$1.32 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.24K | $0.007 | $34.06 | -$4.48 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.08K | $0.002 | $32.71 | +$2.05 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.100 |
| $30 |
| 3d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | 3d ago |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 19.37 | $0.080 | $1.55 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.1 | $0.009 | $0.42 | 26d ago |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 322 | $0.008 | $2.58 | 27d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 63.32 | $0.017 | $1.08 | 28d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 569.5 | $0.135 | $76.88 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 191.82 | $0.950 | $182.23 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027?No | buy | 87.11 | $0.962 | $83.8 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 900 | $0.999 | $899.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.999 | $1.5K | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 393.74 | $0.018 | $7.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 182.5 | $0.007 | $1.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 300 | $0.063 | $18.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 1K | $0.704 | $704 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 200 | $0.625 | $125 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 200 | $0.625 | $125 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | sell | 200 | $0.615 | $123 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.930 | $930.01 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 48.73 | $0.053 | $2.58 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 801.06 | $0.880 | $704.93 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.860 | $995.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 670 | $0.049 | $32.83 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 350.25 | $0.830 | $290.71 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 94.08 | $0.850 | $79.97 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 453.13 | $0.937 | $424.58 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 298.4 | $0.120 | $35.81 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 511.18 | $0.993 | $507.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 360.65 | $0.019 | $6.85 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 550.47 | $0.003 | $1.65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 651.68 | $0.003 | $1.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 464.41 | $0.003 | $1.39 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 46.99 | $0.850 | $39.94 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 42 | $0.840 | $35.28 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 37.26 | $0.037 | $1.38 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 379 | $0.006 | $2.27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 77.05 | $0.120 | $9.25 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 776.52 | $0.011 | $8.54 | May 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 691.11 | $0.644 | $445.4 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.007 | $12.42 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 212.28 | $0.070 | $14.86 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes | sell | 128 | $0.260 | $33.28 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 158.16 | $0.890 | $140.76 | May 4, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana divorced?No | sell | 455.12 | $0.900 | $409.61 | May 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.57 | $0.064 | $0.87 | May 1, 2026 |
 Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?No | sell | 91.66 | $0.910 | $83.41 | May 1, 2026 |